ATP Indian WellsHard1/8-finals11 Mar 2026 · 21:10
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
A. Michelsen
#40 · USA
MEDVEDEV
1.29
·
MICHELSEN
4.05

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Michelsen
Winner
1.29
4.05
Total
line 17.5
1.09
Over 17.5
5.25
Under 17.5
Total
line 18.0
1.11
Over 18.0
4.9
Under 18.0
Handicap
games
9.5
-7.5 games
1.03
+7.5 games
Handicap
games
9
-7.0 games
1.04
+7 games

Player analysis

D. Medvedev comes in with a 4–1 record over recent matches, with wins against quality opposition in the top 24 on average. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -5.7 to 19.3, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. Serve quality has been average (6.6/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+48) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 10.74Trend mixed

A. Michelsen has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -15.0 to 17.1, with at least one match where A. Michelsen was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving A. Michelsen vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.38Trend mixed

Recent form

Recent form bar chartLWWWW

4W 1L last 5

15 MarSinner6-7 6-7L
14 MarAlcaraz3-6 6-7W
13 MarDraper1-6 5-7W
11 MarMichelsen6-2 6-4W
10 MarBaez6-4 6-0W
Recent form bar chartLWWWL

3W 2L last 5

11 MarMedvedev6-2 6-4L
9 MarFritz6-4 7-6W
8 MarHumbert5-7 7-6 6-7W
6 MarAguilar3-6 4-6W
19 FebKorda3-6 6-7L

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP saved90%
Aces7
Double faults1
BP converted60%
1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted40%
BP saved60%
Aces6
Double faults2