Odds
Player analysis
L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -17.1 to 17.6, with at least one match where L. Musetti was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
Recent form
4W 1L last 5
| 23 Mar | Cerundolo | 6-0 4-6 7-5 | L |
| 21 Mar | Sakamoto | 7-6 3-6 1-6 | W |
| 15 Mar | Medvedev | 6-7 6-7 | W |
| 14 Mar | Alcaraz | 3-6 6-7 | W |
| 13 Mar | Draper | 1-6 5-7 | W |
2W 3L last 5
| 6 Mar | Musetti | 5-7 1-6 | W |
| 26 Jan | Musetti | 6-2 7-5 6-4 | L |
| 24 Jan | Musetti | 5-7 6-4 6-2 5-7 6-2 | L |
| 22 Jan | Musetti | 6-3 6-3 6-4 | L |
| 11 Jan | Musetti | 6-7 3-6 | W |
Clay court stats
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.