Hong KongHardSemi-finals10 Jan 2026 · 08:40
L. Musetti
#9 · Italy
VS
A. Rublev
#12 · Russia
MUSETTI
1.89
·
RUBLEV
2.01

Odds

Market
Musetti
Rublev
Winner
1.89
2.01
Total
line 19.5
1.22
Over 19.5
3.48
Under 19.5
Total
line 20.0
1.26
Over 20.0
3.28
Under 20.0
Handicap
games
1.35
-3.5 games
2.84
+3.5 games
Handicap
games
1.42
-3.0 games
2.59
+3 games

Player analysis

L. Musetti has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Point statistics tell a concerning story — average DS of -2.9, meaning L. Musetti has been on the wrong side of most exchanges over five matches. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving L. Musetti vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS -2.86Trend mixed

A. Rublev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -14.0 to 11.3, with at least one match where A. Rublev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 5.8/10, leaving A. Rublev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 1.02Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Musetti
Stat
Rublev
54.3%
Win rate
62.8%
126–106
W–L
311–184

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %70%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved60%
Aces3
Double faults1
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults3