WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHard18 Sep 2025 · 07:20
E. Rybakina
#2 · Kazakhstan
VS
J. Pegula
#5 · USA

Odds

Market
Rybakina
Pegula
Winner

Player analysis

E. Rybakina shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 36. Point margins have been modest — DS averaging +7.7. Wins have been functional rather than dominant. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.2/10, leaving E. Rybakina vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency is a red flag — E. Rybakina has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -17 over recent matches.

DS 7.68Trend mixed

J. Pegula shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 34. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -18.6 to 22.1, with at least one match where J. Pegula was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.0/10, leaving J. Pegula vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.

DS 4.16Trend mixed

Recent form

Hard court stats

Rybakina
Stat
Pegula
68.8%
Win rate
66.4%
207–94
W–L
290–147

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted50%
BP saved40%
Aces5
Double faults2
1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won50%
BP converted30%
BP saved70%
Aces3
Double faults2

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

53
Hard 42
Indoor 11
E. Rybakina vs J. Pegula head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
WTA Indian WellsHardQuarter-finalsRybakina1-6 6-7
WTA Australian OpenHardAustralian Open - Semi-finalsRybakina3-6 6-7
Finals - RiyadhIndoorSemi-finalsRybakina6-4 4-6 3-6
WTA Billie Jean King Cup - World GroupHardRybakina6-4 6-1
WTA Finals - CancunIndoorPegula5-7 2-6
WTA MiamiHardSemi-finalsRybakina7-6 6-4
Guadalajara 2Hard1/16-finalsPegula2-6 6-3 7-6
MiamiHard1/16-finalsPegula6-3 6-4