D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

C. Moutet comes into this match in difficult form — 2 wins from the last 5. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -22.3 to 26.2, with at least one match where C. Moutet was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.1/10, leaving C. Moutet vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure.