BeijingHardQuarter-finals29 Sep 2025 · 15:30
D. Medvedev
#10 · Russia
VS
A. Zverev
#3 · Germany
MEDVEDEV
1.83
·
ZVEREV
2.09

Odds

Market
Medvedev
Zverev
Winner
1.83
2.09

Player analysis

D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.

DS 4.82Trend up

A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.

DS 12.93Trend up

Recent form

Hard court stats

Medvedev
Stat
Zverev
72.6%
Win rate
66.9%
378–143
W–L
341–169

Avg stats — last 5

1st serve %60%
1st serve won70%
2nd serve won60%
BP converted60%
BP saved80%
Aces7
Double faults2
1st serve %70%
1st serve won90%
2nd serve won70%
BP converted20%
BP saved70%
Aces10
Double faults1

Head to head

Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.

82
Indoor 11
Hard 41
Grass 10
Clay 20
D. Medvedev vs A. Zverev head to head match history
DateTournamentSurfaceRoundWinnerScore
ParisIndoorQuarter-finalsZverev6-2 3-6 6-7
BeijingHardQuarter-finalsMedvedev6-3 6-3
HalleGrassSemi-finalsMedvedev7-6 6-7 6-4
ATP Australian OpenHardSemi-finalsMedvedev5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3
ATP Finals - TurinIndoorMedvedev7-6 6-4
ATP BeijingHardSemi-finalsMedvedev4-6 3-6
ATP CincinnatiHard1/8-finalsZverev6-4 5-7 6-4
ATP RomeClay1/8-finalsMedvedev2-6 6-7
ATP Monte CarloClay1/8-finalsMedvedev3-6 7-5 7-6
ATP Indian WellsHard1/8-finalsMedvedev6-7 7-6 7-5