Odds
Player analysis
D. Medvedev has been inconsistent recently, going 3–2 over the last five matches. Form is mixed — DS ranging from -7.6 to 18.5, with at least one match where D. Medvedev was clearly outplayed. The serve has been a concern — averaging only 6.4/10, leaving D. Medvedev vulnerable on second serve and facing frequent return pressure. Break point efficiency has been exceptional (+44) — converting opportunities and shutting down threats at the critical moments.
A. Zverev shows a 4–1 form record, though the level of opposition has been mixed — average ranking of opponents is 57. Point dominance has been clear and improving — average DS of +12.9, trending upward over the last three matches. Serve quality has been average (7.4/10) — neither a weapon nor a significant liability. Break point efficiency is a red flag — A. Zverev has been losing the important points, with a BP efficiency of -18 over recent matches.
Recent form
Avg stats — last 5
Head to head
Career meetings between these two players (all tournaments), not only this event. The match at the top of the page is the current tournament fixture.
| Date | Tournament | Surface | Round | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris | Indoor | Quarter-finals | Zverev | 6-2 3-6 6-7 | |
| Beijing | Hard | Quarter-finals | Medvedev | 6-3 6-3 | |
| Halle | Grass | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 7-6 6-7 6-4 | |
| ATP Australian Open | Hard | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 5-7 3-6 7-6 7-6 6-3 | |
| ATP Finals - Turin | Indoor | Medvedev | 7-6 6-4 | ||
| ATP Beijing | Hard | Semi-finals | Medvedev | 4-6 3-6 | |
| ATP Cincinnati | Hard | 1/8-finals | Zverev | 6-4 5-7 6-4 | |
| ATP Rome | Clay | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 2-6 6-7 | |
| ATP Monte Carlo | Clay | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 3-6 7-5 7-6 | |
| ATP Indian Wells | Hard | 1/8-finals | Medvedev | 6-7 7-6 7-5 |

